The LBBC Business Risk Advisor
The Libyan people’s political and economic hopes following the 2011 revolution, repeatedly confirmed by several elections over the years that followed, have been frustrated by political failure and armed conflict between rival politicians, regions and militias.
There is no sign of an early resolution to this conflict and it may get worse before it gets better. But the country’s tribulations will pass and the Libyan people’s aspirations for a more settled and prosperous future will be within their reach once more. At that stage, they will look for goods, services and partnerships with overseas suppliers and, as an oil exporter, will have the financial resources to pay for the country’s needs.
No-one can predict when stability will return so it is crucial to monitor developments in-country to ensure that, when it does, LBBC members are ready to resume business. The LBBC has created this page to provide members and their clients with access to up-to-date information and analyses. The material on this page is provided by professional risk advisory companies with staff on the ground in Libya.
This is not to say that there is no business to be done in Libya even now. Visible (and no doubt invisible) exports continue, albeit at a modest rate, and some contracts are offered. The risk advisory page provides a valuable resource for members considering responding to these business prospects and the opportunity to consult the companies involved on the conditions affecting the viability and location of the particular business under consideration.
We are sure that LBBC members - both experienced Libyan operators and businesses new to the Libyan market - will find the information provided on this page and the more detailed advice available from the providers both interesting and a valuable input to their business strategies and decisions.
GardaWorld .Xplored Risk Analysis and Reporting:
GardaWorld risk reports for Libya are produced in country and contain the very latest ground-truth information that analyses the current security situation, political, regulatory and cultural challenges. Reports are designed for people with operational reporting requirements and can support staff deployment and movement plans with their up-to-date review of current threat levels or risk in Libya.
Read the Libya .Xplored latest Libya Report [17 March] here
Prepared by Risk Analysis Team, Libya
|Unity Resources Group|
Unity is a leading provider of effective solutions to business, governments and organisations pursuing success in challenging and high risk environments. Our Libya operations and extensive network of reliable local sources provide invaluable insights to clients on successfully navigating challenges in their areas of operations within Libya. Our experienced country management team are able to support clients to enter the country, set up and secure their operations and provide on-going consultation services, so they can focus on their core business and achieve organisational success.
The Unity Country Manager and team in Tripoli are vastly experienced, the CM has over 16 years of operational experience in Libya, our team has a vast understanding of operating environment and key contacts throughout the country. As always Unity intend to work closely with our clients to fulfil their aims in a safe manner given the restricted environment. The assets security resources and policies are aligned to meet the Libyan environment, our aim is also to train and deploy Libyan operators wherever possible. www.unityresourcesgroup.com
Links: Read Unity Resources Group Report -Libya Monitor February 2017 here
|The Inkerman Group|
The Inkerman Group is a specialist risk and intelligence company that delivers tools, techniques and methodologies to counter or mitigate threats to organisations and businesses. The Inkerman Group’s expertise covers all aspects of risk, intelligence, travel safety, protection and security, and works with clients, companies and organisations throughout the world to identify the specific risks, threats and vulnerabilities they face. The Inkerman Group has been producing its present range of insightful Libya intelligence publications since the current period of instability began. These are supported by a 24/7 Operations capability, which can include the deployment of operatives for executive protection, review of sites and, if necessary, extraction of foreign nationals in the worst-case scenarios. The Inkerman Group is also positioned to generate bespoke reports for clients operating in or doing business with Libya, drawing on a vast range of accrued expertise, local sources, and operational experience to deliver according to clients’ exact requirements.
Links: Read the Libya Daily Report to 27 January 2017
|JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS|
JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis.
Janus Global Operations - Libya Security Summary - 21 March 2017
Tensions throughout the country remain extremely high both on the political and military front as the week concluded with media reports claiming that the Prime Minister of Libya’s unity government, Fayez al-Sarraj had fled from Tripoli and his Defence Minister al-Mahdi al-Barghathi had been abducted. These claims have been vigorously denied. Western powers are struggling to shore up support for the GNA in the west as the eastern government position has been strengthened because the recapture of the oil ports gives it control of the Sirte basin, home to the bulk of Libya’s oil wealth. The UK ambassador to Libya, Peter Millett reportedly met Khalifa Haftar on Wednesday as the Libyan general's forces claimed victory in a week long battle with the UN-backed "unity government" for control of the country's lucrative oil crescent. A spokesman for Britain's foreign office stated "UK government officials regularly meet with a wide range of Libyans. This was a positive meeting and part of the UK's wider diplomatic outreach to promote stability in Libya through peaceful dialogue and to encourage all Libyans to work together to alleviate the suffering of the Libyan people”.
In Cairo on Saturday, the Arab League meeting was informed by the UN special envoy to Libya, Martin Kobler that Libya’s army needs to unify in order for the Security Council to lift an arms embargo imposed in 2011. The international body calls for a unified army with a clear chain of command represented by the UN-backed unity government. During the same meeting, the EU’s top diplomat Federica Mogherini stressed that the EU is working towards stemming the illegal flow of migrants through Libya to Europe. “Trafficking and smuggling business is part of one of the problems that Libya is facing in this moment and the loss of lives”. On Monday, the Italian coastguard reported 3000 migrants were rescued crossing the calming seas of the Mediterranean.
Tripoli has seen some of the worst fighting in the past few years with three days of intense clashes as heavy fighting commenced with explosions, HMG, RPG SAF engagements. The fighting was triggered last Monday by a dispute over control of a bank in the Hay Al-Andalus neighbourhood and then escalated into power struggles between Militia groups from Tripoli and Misrata and between groups aligned with the UN sponsored Government of National Accord (GNA). Collateral damage was sustained on shops and businesses throughout the Gorgi and Gargarish Road. Fighting continued throughout the day spreading towards the southern neighbourhoods as tanks and other heavy weapons were deployed on the streets. Concentrations of fire were around the area of the Rixos hotel where the head of the National Salvation Government, Khalifa Ghwell was housed. The gate to the complex was demolished as shots and explosions were heard as guards belonging to the Central Security of Abu Salim Brigade, which is aligned with the GNA, overwhelmed the buildings. By late morning on Wednesday, celebratory fire and rejoicing was reported by local media as the GNA took over the Guest Palaces Compound within the city. Ghwell suffered a minor injury as he tried to leave the Rixos at dawn.
Haftar supporters fled Tripoli’s Martyrs’ Square on Friday night as militant gunman opened fire at the end of a day-long demonstration. Afterwards the Presidency Council warned that the capital risked being dragged into a bloodbath. The latter part of the week saw PC members evacuating from the Naval base which has been accommodating Fayez Sarraj as a possible attack was imminent as demonstrators gathered outside threatening to bring down the Presidential Council.
East Libyan forces said they had regained control on Tuesday of the major oil ports of Ras Lanuf and Es Sider from the Benghazi Defense Brigade (BDB) that had seized them earlier this month. Footage and photos showed LNA troops posing around the ports confirming that they had entered the town that adjoins the oil port and refinery following clashes and air strikes. The LNA said 10 of its troops had been killed and 18 wounded.
In Benghazi, after eight weeks of fighting, militants at the infamous Ganfouda 12 apartment complex were overwhelmed as an assault on the building was a success although at least 12 LNA men are known to have died and some 30 wounded in the course of the attack. 43 militants were killed in the final assault. Shelling attacks took place between LNA forces and Derna Shoura Council fighters in Al Hamar area, south of Derna. In the south of the country, reports of clashes and airstrikes around Al Jufra between the LNA and BDB forces took place although casualties are unknown.
Janus Global Operations continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis. To discuss these services further please contact us on +218 911713972 or +971 508764175 or visit our website www.janusgo.com
|MS Risk supports clients in a variety of business sectors with research, investigative activity, crisis response, project management and consulting services. MS Risk enjoys strong links working in partnership with and supporting law enforcement and military agencies. It has completed projects for clients around the world and in sectors such as natural resources, maritime, supply chain, financial services, media, hospitality, construction engineering and for the legal profession. www.msrisk.com To discuss our services, please contact firstname.lastname@example.org or +44 207 754 3555
Links: Read MS Risk's latest report Outlook- Libyan Port Security here - 16 October 2016
If you would like to contribute to this section of the LBBC website, in the first instance please contact the Secretariat at: email@example.com or call +44 (0) 20 7152 4051