The LBBC Business Risk Advisor
The Libyan people’s political and economic hopes following the 2011 revolution, repeatedly confirmed by several elections over the years that followed, have been frustrated by political failure and armed conflict between rival politicians, regions and militias.
There is no sign of an early resolution to this conflict and it may get worse before it gets better. But the country’s tribulations will pass and the Libyan people’s aspirations for a more settled and prosperous future will be within their reach once more. At that stage, they will look for goods, services and partnerships with overseas suppliers and, as an oil exporter, will have the financial resources to pay for the country’s needs.
No-one can predict when stability will return so it is crucial to monitor developments in-country to ensure that, when it does, LBBC members are ready to resume business. The LBBC has created this page to provide members and their clients with access to up-to-date information and analyses. The material on this page is provided by professional risk advisory companies with staff on the ground in Libya.
This is not to say that there is no business to be done in Libya even now. Visible (and no doubt invisible) exports continue, albeit at a modest rate, and some contracts are offered. The risk advisory page provides a valuable resource for members considering responding to these business prospects and the opportunity to consult the companies involved on the conditions affecting the viability and location of the particular business under consideration.
We are sure that LBBC members - both experienced Libyan operators and businesses new to the Libyan market - will find the information provided on this page and the more detailed advice available from the providers both interesting and a valuable input to their business strategies and decisions.
GardaWorld .Xplored Risk Analysis and Reporting:
GardaWorld risk reports for Libya are produced in country and contain the very latest ground-truth information that analyses the current security situation, political, regulatory and cultural challenges. Reports are designed for people with operational reporting requirements and can support staff deployment and movement plans with their up-to-date review of current threat levels or risk in Libya.
Read the Libya .Xplored latest Libya Report [17 February] here
Prepared by Risk Analysis Team, Libya
|Unity Resources Group|
Unity is a leading provider of effective solutions to business, governments and organisations pursuing success in challenging and high risk environments. Our Libya operations and extensive network of reliable local sources provide invaluable insights to clients on successfully navigating challenges in their areas of operations within Libya. Our experienced country management team are able to support clients to enter the country, set up and secure their operations and provide on-going consultation services, so they can focus on their core business and achieve organisational success.
The Unity Country Manager and team in Tripoli are vastly experienced, the CM has over 16 years of operational experience in Libya, our team has a vast understanding of operating environment and key contacts throughout the country. As always Unity intend to work closely with our clients to fulfil their aims in a safe manner given the restricted environment. The assets security resources and policies are aligned to meet the Libyan environment, our aim is also to train and deploy Libyan operators wherever possible. www.unityresourcesgroup.com
Links: Read Unity Resources Group Report -Libya Monitor January 2017 here
|JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS|
JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis.
Janus Global Operations - Libya Security Summary - 14 February 2017
On the political front this week, the failed appointment of former Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayyad as the UN’s peace envoy to Libya has shown that divisions over Palestine still run deep at the world body. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres’ pick as his Special Representative in Libya, was quickly vetoed by US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley on Friday 10 February. Haley said that the United States was “disappointed” to see a letter indicating Fayyad would be appointed for the role. By Monday Fayyad was no longer under consideration. In Dubai on Monday, Guterres described the turn of events as a “loss for the Libyan peace process,” describing Fayyad as “the right person for the right job at the right moment.”
Concerns were raised in the capital and the International community, as reports came in that a so called ‘’Libyan National Guard (LNG)’’ had been formed. This new hard-line Military formation rejects the Presidency Council and backs the supposed Government of Khalifa Ghwell. The newly formed LNG is in large part made up of Misratan forces and a number of Amazigh Militiamen. On announcing its formation, the LNG claimed that its main priority was to eradicate the so-called Islamist group, Daish. The Misrata Elder’s Council later declared that the aim of the LNG was to protect the 17 February revolution against the return of military dictatorship. The LNG, mostly comprised of Al Bunyon Forces, is involved in the battle for Sirte and it is said that the LNG and its allies control almost all of the west of the capital. Militias allied to the Presidency Council and its Government of National Accord (GNA), continue to control central Tripoli, which is controlled by Haithem Tajouri's ‘’Tripoli Revolutionary Brigade’. East Tripoli is largely under the control of the LNG; opponents of Tajouri are in control of most of Tajoura. Suq Al Juma continues to be under the control of Rada Forces led by Abdul Raouf Kara, Tajouri's ally, whilst Abu Sleem is under the control of Gneiwa, again another ally to Tajouri.
The capital has seen an upsurge of sporadic fighting between rival militias in the areas of Wadi Alrabie, Salahaddin Road, north of Qaser Bin Ghashir, Sher Khan, near Yamouk camp, Al Haba area of Abu Sleem, Ain Zara and areas of Tajouri. These clashes caused road closures and mass congestion around the city.
An announcement was made on Sunday by the GNA, allied to the Ministry of Interior, that checkpoints will be put in place on the main roads around the main road entry points leading into the capital. The duration of this operation will be for at least 2 weeks and security operations will be carried out in the Tajoura, Hey Andalus and Ain Zara areas. A further announcement was made that Martyrs Square will be closed to all vehicles, 3 days prior to the February 17th revolution celebrations.
Sirte this week has seen the second phase of the return of Sirte displaced families. The assistant commander of the field operations room of the Al Bunyan Al Marsoos, Al Hadi Drah, told the media on Thursday that this stage of the operation includes neighbourhood 3, after it had been cleared of mines, adding that the return to Sirte would be divided up into six stages. The first stage saw 300 families return to their houses in neighbourhood 700 in western Sirte. Later he went onto say that, the Sirte - Misrata Special Operations Room have created a six-point plan to secure the comeback of the Sirte displaced residents and also formed a committee to control this.
In the east, the Benghazi Defence Brigades (BDB) reported that it had shot down an LNA helicopter in retaliation to the LNA carrying out an attack on their positons in Hun, Jufra airbase. Later reports indicated, that the pilot was found dead, however, the co-pilot was still missing. No official statements have been made by the LNA in regards to the helicopter or the pilots.
Whilst in the south, Hun town, near to Jufra City, has seen the start of an evacuation of residents from their houses following a threat by the Operation Dignity spokesman, Ahmed Al Mesmari, who vowed to bomb the town and its Wahat hotel on the pretext of being a harbour to Benghazi Defence Brigade fighters and ammunition.
Janus Global Operations continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis. To discuss these services further please contact us on +218 911713972 or +971 508764175 or visit our website www.janusgo.com
|MS Risk supports clients in a variety of business sectors with research, investigative activity, crisis response, project management and consulting services. MS Risk enjoys strong links working in partnership with and supporting law enforcement and military agencies. It has completed projects for clients around the world and in sectors such as natural resources, maritime, supply chain, financial services, media, hospitality, construction engineering and for the legal profession. www.msrisk.com To discuss our services, please contact email@example.com or +44 207 754 3555
Links: Read MS Risk's latest report Outlook- Libyan Port Security here - 16 October 2016
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