The LBBC Business Risk Advisor
The Libyan people’s political and economic hopes following the 2011 revolution, repeatedly confirmed by several elections over the years that followed, have been frustrated by political failure and armed conflict between rival politicians, regions and militias.
There is no sign of an early resolution to this conflict and it may get worse before it gets better. But the country’s tribulations will pass and the Libyan people’s aspirations for a more settled and prosperous future will be within their reach once more. At that stage, they will look for goods, services and partnerships with overseas suppliers and, as an oil exporter, will have the financial resources to pay for the country’s needs.
No-one can predict when stability will return so it is crucial to monitor developments in-country to ensure that, when it does, LBBC members are ready to resume business. The LBBC has created this page to provide members and their clients with access to up-to-date information and analyses. The material on this page is provided by professional risk advisory companies with staff on the ground in Libya.
This is not to say that there is no business to be done in Libya even now. Visible (and no doubt invisible) exports continue, albeit at a modest rate, and some contracts are offered. The risk advisory page provides a valuable resource for members considering responding to these business prospects and the opportunity to consult the companies involved on the conditions affecting the viability and location of the particular business under consideration.
We are sure that LBBC members - both experienced Libyan operators and businesses new to the Libyan market - will find the information provided on this page and the more detailed advice available from the providers both interesting and a valuable input to their business strategies and decisions.
GardaWorld .Xplored Risk Analysis and Reporting:
GardaWorld risk reports for Libya are produced in country and contain the very latest ground-truth information that analyses the current security situation, political, regulatory and cultural challenges. Reports are designed for people with operational reporting requirements and can support staff deployment and movement plans with their up-to-date review of current threat levels or risk in Libya.
Read the Libya .Xplored latest Libya Report [21 April] here
Prepared by Risk Analysis Team, Libya
|Unity Resources Group|
Unity is a leading provider of effective solutions to business, governments and organisations pursuing success in challenging and high risk environments. Our Libya operations and extensive network of reliable local sources provide invaluable insights to clients on successfully navigating challenges in their areas of operations within Libya. Our experienced country management team are able to support clients to enter the country, set up and secure their operations and provide on-going consultation services, so they can focus on their core business and achieve organisational success.
The Unity Country Manager and team in Tripoli are vastly experienced, the CM has over 16 years of operational experience in Libya, our team has a vast understanding of operating environment and key contacts throughout the country. As always Unity intend to work closely with our clients to fulfil their aims in a safe manner given the restricted environment. The assets security resources and policies are aligned to meet the Libyan environment, our aim is also to train and deploy Libyan operators wherever possible. www.unityresourcesgroup.com
Links: Read Unity Resources Group Report -Libya Monitor March 2017 here
|The Inkerman Group|
The Inkerman Group is a specialist risk and intelligence company that delivers tools, techniques and methodologies to counter or mitigate threats to organisations and businesses. The Inkerman Group’s expertise covers all aspects of risk, intelligence, travel safety, protection and security, and works with clients, companies and organisations throughout the world to identify the specific risks, threats and vulnerabilities they face. The Inkerman Group has been producing its present range of insightful Libya intelligence publications since the current period of instability began. These are supported by a 24/7 Operations capability, which can include the deployment of operatives for executive protection, review of sites and, if necessary, extraction of foreign nationals in the worst-case scenarios. The Inkerman Group is also positioned to generate bespoke reports for clients operating in or doing business with Libya, drawing on a vast range of accrued expertise, local sources, and operational experience to deliver according to clients’ exact requirements.
Links: Read the Libya Daily Report to 27 January 2017
|JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS|
JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis.
Janus Global Operations - Libya Security Summary - 18 April 2017
It was bad news for Libya’s oil production this week as the North African country's National Oil Corp. (NOC) was forced to declare force majeure on loadings of Sharara crude from the Zawiya export terminal. This was due to an unknown group blocking an oil pipeline. This latest blockade at Libya's Sharara oil field came just one week after production was halted previously, a Libyan industry representative stated. Production at the Sharara field had recovered and risen to 213,000 barrels per day (bbl/d) by April 9. Libya’s catastrophic security profile is a complex web of tribal militias, a fractured and weak government, virtually non-existent law-enforcement, huge socio-economic issues, corruption, and the presence of international terrorist groups like ISIS. This creates a lawless landscape, which subsequently leaves oil infrastructure highly vulnerable to attack. The sector has continued to suffer frequent disruptions due to armed conflict, political rivalry, local protests, and conflicting groups with financial or political grievances. Despite this national oil production has more than doubled since last year after a blockade at major eastern oil ports ended.
Also this week, UN Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres stated that the Islamic State extremist group no longer controls territory in Libya but its operatives have been sighted and are to blame for a number of attacks in different areas. Because of this the international community in the country remains a target. He also warned that Libya risks a return to widespread conflict, citing the volatile security situation in Tripoli and fighting in the eastern oil crescent and elsewhere. He expressed alarm in a report to the UN Security Council at the renewed military escalation and ongoing political stalemate in the country. He said that the potential for an escalating conflict remains due mainly to unaddressed political issues “and the multiplicity of armed actors on the ground with conflicting agendas”. Guterres said the UN-backed Presidency Council and government remain “constrained in their ability to govern effectively and to provide much needed basic services and security to the population”.
Meanwhile, the Presidential Council formed a committee to co-ordinate communication channels between the fighting parties in southern Libya after the ceasefire in the region failed. The PC asked the committee headed by the Local Governing Minister, Badad Ganso, to co-ordinate contacts to help regain trust in the truce that was brokered by elders from the Nafousa Mountain and aimed to stop fighting for three days. The committee will try to fix the issues that were triggered by the renewal of clashes after the forces of Operation Dignity carried airstrikes on Tamnahent airbase this morning. Tamnahent airbase has been the arena for a fight between the Third Force of the Defence Ministry of the Government of National Accord and the forces led by Mohammed Ben Nayed, an ally to Khalifa Haftar.
German NGO ‘Jugend Rettet’ reported that the Italian coastguard had rescued 3000 migrants travelling in unseaworthy boats off the coast of Libyan on Saturday. Fine Spring weather in the Mediterranean was believed to have pushed the numbers of willing travellers up. By Saturday, 35 daylight rescue operations had been mounted, but as night fell, 15 rescue operations were still underway. On Friday it was stated that a total 2,074 migrants had been rescued during 19 rescue operations from 16 rubber dinghies and three small wooden boats.
The Head of the UN-proposed government's Presidential Council, Fayez Al-Sirraj, called in an open letter to the international community for an immediate intervention to stop the current military escalation in southern Libya, which he said is threatening the stability of the country.
The House of Representatives in Tobruk denounced the call on the international community to intervene. The HoR considered that such a call to be in favour of what it described - the armed militias and the smuggling gangs and the groups that destroyed the country. It also rejected those actions by the PC, which it described as unconstitutional.
Janus Global Operations continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis. To discuss these services further please contact us on +218 911713972 or +971 508764175 or visit our website www.janusgo.com
|MS Risk supports clients in a variety of business sectors with research, investigative activity, crisis response, project management and consulting services. MS Risk enjoys strong links working in partnership with and supporting law enforcement and military agencies. It has completed projects for clients around the world and in sectors such as natural resources, maritime, supply chain, financial services, media, hospitality, construction engineering and for the legal profession. www.msrisk.com To discuss our services, please contact firstname.lastname@example.org or +44 207 754 3555
Links: Read MS Risk's latest report Outlook- Libyan Port Security here - 16 October 2016
If you would like to contribute to this section of the LBBC website, in the first instance please contact the Secretariat at: email@example.com or call +44 (0) 20 7152 4051